Tyson Fury is the bookmakers’ favourite to beat Anthony Joshua, priced around 1.50 (about 8/15), with Joshua around 2.60 (about 13/8). That gives Fury roughly a 64% chance of winning. Our prediction is Fury by decision, but Joshua’s power makes an upset very possible.
Here is how the odds see the fight, the case for each man and how we think it plays out. For all fight details, see our full Fury vs Joshua guide.
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Fury vs Joshua Odds
Prices vary between bookmakers and change often. This is a general picture from odds published in October 2026, shown for information only.
| Outcome | Typical price | Implied chance |
|---|---|---|
| Tyson Fury to win | Around 1.50 (8/15) | About 64% |
| Anthony Joshua to win | Around 2.60 (13/8) | About 36% |
| Fury by KO or stoppage | Around 2.28 | Most likely single outcome |
| Fury by decision | Around 3.66 | |
| Joshua by KO or stoppage | Around 3.50 | |
| Joshua by decision | Around 8.00 | Least likely |
The market sees a stoppage as more likely than a decision for both men, and gives Joshua little chance of winning on the scorecards.
The Case for Tyson Fury
- Size and reach: three inches taller with a three-inch reach advantage.
- Ring IQ: his feints, footwork and stance switches have confused elite heavyweights for 15 years.
- Experience: far more professional rounds than Joshua, including 12-round wars with Wilder and Usyk.
- Record against the best: his only losses came against Oleksandr Usyk, both on the scorecards.
The Case for Anthony Joshua
- Power: 27 knockouts in 30 wins, a 90% stoppage rate.
- Current form: four stoppages in his last five fights.
- Fury has been down: Deontay Wilder dropped him several times and Francis Ngannou put him on the canvas in 2023.
- Ngannou comparison: Joshua stopped Ngannou in two rounds, while Fury needed a split decision.
Key Questions for Fight Night
Can Joshua let his hands go? He has been at his best when he commits early. Hesitation plays into Fury’s hands.
How sharp is Fury at 38? His two 2026 wins came against limited opposition after a long layoff.
How is Joshua’s chin? Kristian Prenga dropped him twice in the first round in July, and Daniel Dubois stopped him in 2024.
Our Fury vs Joshua Prediction
We expect Fury to use his jab and size to keep Joshua at range for most of the fight, tying him up whenever Joshua closes in. Joshua will likely have his best moments early, and he may land the cleaner single shots. Over 12 rounds, though, Fury’s movement and volume should win more rounds.
Our pick: Tyson Fury by decision. The biggest danger to that pick is a Joshua right hand in the first half of the fight. This is our editorial opinion, not betting advice.
Compare the full numbers in our Fury vs Joshua tale of the tape.
Fury vs Joshua Prediction FAQ
Who is the favourite in Fury vs Joshua?
Tyson Fury is the favourite at around 1.50, with Anthony Joshua the underdog at around 2.60.
Who will win Fury vs Joshua?
Our prediction is Tyson Fury by decision. Joshua’s knockout power means an upset is a real possibility.
Will Fury vs Joshua end in a knockout?
Bookmakers rate a stoppage as more likely than a decision. Joshua has 27 knockouts in 30 wins, and Fury has been dropped before.
How many rounds is Fury vs Joshua?
The fight is scheduled for 12 three-minute rounds.
Odds are shown for information only. We do not offer or promote betting. If gambling is affecting you, free help is available from BeGambleAware.